Want to get the latest read on which party has the edge this Election Day? The Fox News Probability Meter is here for you. The new tool is launching on FoxNews.com, to give midterm election-watchers a ...

Even small probabilities of infection for individuals compound to large probabilities for a large number of people. Carnival needs low risk passengers and screening to be near 100% effective to reduce ...

Robbins (1968) considered the problem of estimating the total probability of the unobserved outcomes of an experiment. In this paper we suggest an estimator, based on n trials, and show that under ...

The problem of estimating the variance of the ratio estimator in sampling with probability proportional to aggregate size is investigated. The form of nonnegative unbiased variance estimators is found ...

Insurance can effectively mitigate significant operational risks. However, not all losses are insurable, and payments of covered losses are not generally reimbursed in full for reasons including the ...

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Statisticians who study coincidences are fond of saying that ordinary people don’t know how to estimate the probabilities of coincidences. To illustrate our poor statistical thinking, statisticians ...

Kernel density estimation (KDE) and nonparametric methods form a cornerstone of contemporary statistical analysis. Unlike parametric approaches that assume a specific functional form for the ...

Phylogenetic trees can improve the power of comparative sequence analyses by placing raw sequence differences into their historical context — offering an understanding of how the sequences that we see ...